Are Some Jumps Faulted More Frequently? Analyzing Fault Distribution for Showjumping

 Are some jumps faulted more than others?  Is it because they're "harder" or just used more frequently?  We looked at the data to find out.

The Approach:

We designed a model course to arrive at an approximate distribution of jump types.  The Course was based on an average of 10 different jump configurations to capture different Combination Types, and use of elements like Liverpools, Skinny Jumps, Planks, Walls and Water.  

We calculated the percent each element comprised within the model course and compared that to Baseline Data for JumpClear members for their Fault Distribution for Average Round 1 Faults over a 12 month period.  

Findings

Overall, the Model Course aligns very well with Average Faults.  This data suggests that faults - viewed as an average across multiple horses and rounds - occur roughly in proportion to the frequency of the type of course element.  Otherwise said, no particular jump is a bogey causing a hugely disproportionate amount of faults.

We know, however, that faults vary significantly between individual horses.  We'll look more closely at this in the next post.